
OPEC+ raises May quotas by 206,000 bpd but barrels have nowhere to go
OPEC+ approved a second 206,000 barrel-per-day increase, this time for May. With the Strait of Hormuz still shut, the extra barrels exist only on paper.
Latest news and analysis on oil, gas, and commodity markets

OPEC+ approved a second 206,000 barrel-per-day increase, this time for May. With the Strait of Hormuz still shut, the extra barrels exist only on paper.

The eight OPEC+ adjusters face their most consequential meeting since the alliance formed, with WTI at $111 and the Strait of Hormuz near shutdown.

An F-15E was shot down by Iranian forces on Thursday, the first US aircraft lost to enemy fire in the war. One crew member rescued, one missing.

WTI hit $112, overtaking Brent at $107. Traders are paying a security premium for US barrels that don't need to pass through the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent hit $109 and WTI topped $108 as Trump's deadline, a failed summit, Qatar's LNG collapse, and OPEC's meeting all converged in a single session.

Britain convened 35 countries to discuss reopening the Strait of Hormuz. The US was not invited. Trump told allies to go get your own oil instead.

Iran's Revolutionary Guard charges ships up to $2 million to cross the Strait of Hormuz. Parliament just voted to make the fees permanent, creating a wartime revenue machine.

Trump said the US could 'obliterate' Kharg Island, which handles 90% of Iran's crude exports. Oil spiked to $116 before settling back near $103.

More than 4 million barrels of daily refining capacity is at risk. US diesel jumped 38% in two weeks, and fuel inventories are heading to their lowest since 2000.

Brent's futures curve prices December crude at $85, a 26% discount to today. The market is betting the Hormuz crisis resolves well before year-end.

Houthi missiles targeted Israel as the group warned it may close Bab el-Mandeb, threatening to block both major Middle East oil chokepoints at once.