
First tankers cross Hormuz in three months as Iran plays gatekeeper
A handful of oil and LNG tankers crossed the Strait of Hormuz in late May after three months of near-total blockade. Iran is controlling who passes and how.
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A handful of oil and LNG tankers crossed the Strait of Hormuz in late May after three months of near-total blockade. Iran is controlling who passes and how.

WTI fell below $90 for the first time since April after US forces hit Iranian targets. The market read the strikes as deal pressure, not escalation.

Global oil stocks are falling at 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2, the fastest draw ever recorded. Yet crude has dropped 16% in a month on Iran deal optimism.

WTI fell 6% to $91.13 and Brent dropped below $98 after Washington and Tehran outlined a framework to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

WTI fell 9% to $98.57, its first trip below $100 since the war began. Trump predicted prices would plummet, and the Senate voted to limit his Iran war powers.

Trump shelved a planned Iran strike after Gulf allies asked for 2-3 more days. Brent swung from $112 to $111 as Iran sent a 14-point peace proposal.

The June WTI contract expires Tuesday. We now quote July at $101.02, down $4.40 from the expiring month. The curve is steeper than last time.

Analysts predicted $150 oil if Hormuz shut down. Ten weeks in, Brent sits at $107. China's strategic reserves, low starting prices, and stubborn deal optimism explain the gap.

The national average jumped 25 cents for the second straight week to $4.55, up 53% since the war began. Analysts warn $5 is coming before the holiday weekend.

Brent crude jumped back above $103 after a US Navy jet disabled an Iranian oil tanker in the Gulf of Oman, rattling deal hopes as Iran's response deadline arrives.

Brent fell to $97.42 on Thursday, down $17 from Monday's peak. Iran's parliament speaker mocked deal reports as "Operation Fauxios." Tehran's response is due today.