
US shale hits its ceiling as the Permian carries the country
US oil output hit a record 13.93 million barrels a day in April, but falling rig counts and aging fields mean the Permian is now carrying nearly all the growth.
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US oil output hit a record 13.93 million barrels a day in April, but falling rig counts and aging fields mean the Permian is now carrying nearly all the growth.

WTI crude tumbled 6.6% to $75.39 and Brent fell to $78.93 on Tuesday as Washington signaled a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz could land within days.

Brent crude fell 8.7% to $81.31 and WTI dropped to $78.48 as a three-day lull in US-Iran strikes and revived Hormuz talks drained the war premium fast.

Brent crude punched above $100 for the first time since May after Houthi forces struck Saudi tankers in the Red Sea, then eased back near $97 on Friday.

Crude is not the problem anymore. Attacks on refineries from the Gulf to Russia have knocked out nearly a tenth of the world's fuel-making capacity.

Brent steadied near $88 and WTI eased to $81 after a week-long surge, as a ninth straight night of US strikes on Iran keeps the Strait of Hormuz in focus.

Qatar has halted the ramp-up at Ras Laffan, the world's biggest LNG plant, after a tanker was struck in the Strait of Hormuz, tightening global gas supply.

WTI leapt 8.6% to $78.16 and Brent topped $83 after Iran's Revolutionary Guard declared the Strait of Hormuz closed and struck a container ship trying to cross.

Brent leapt 6.6% to $79.38 and WTI rose to $73.52 after President Trump pronounced the Iran truce dead, threatened new strikes and canceled Tehran's oil sales license.

Seven OPEC+ nations meet Sunday to set output as the war premium drains and crude slides to a three-month low near $68. Do they add more barrels or pause?

Crude has fallen about a quarter this month, but US natural gas is climbing near $3.33 as record LNG exports and summer heat outweigh brimming domestic storage.